Saturday, October 13, 2012

Romney Presidential Odds

Will Mitt Romney win the November 2012 Presidential Election? The chart below shows the closing price from the political prediction market, Intrade.  Note that this graph is continually updated.

Each number on the price scale represents the market-based probability in percentage terms for the event occurring (in this case, the event is that Mitt Romney will be elected).



Obama Election Chances

Will Obama retain the Presidency in 2012?  The chart below shows a rolling 90-day closing price from the political prediction market, Intrade.  Note that this graph is continually updated.

Each number on the price scale represents the market-based probability in percentage terms for the event occurring (in this case, the event is that President Obama will be re-elected).